Job prospects Cabinetmaker in Canada

People working as a cabinetmaker have different job prospects depending on where they work in Canada. Find out what the future holds for them in your province or territory. These outlooks are applicable to all Cabinetmakers (NOC 7272).

Note that the current 2019-2021 Employment Outlook was published in December 2019 based on information available at that time.

Job opportunities over the next 3 years

Explore future job prospects by province and territory.

Location Job prospects
Newfoundland and Labrador Undetermined Undetermined
Prince Edward Island Undetermined Undetermined
Nova Scotia Undetermined Undetermined
New Brunswick Undetermined Undetermined
Quebec Fair Fair
Ontario Fair Fair
Manitoba Fair Fair
Saskatchewan Limited Limited
Alberta Fair Fair
British Columbia Fair Fair
Yukon Territory Undetermined Undetermined
Northwest Territories Undetermined Undetermined
Nunavut Undetermined Undetermined
Legend: The job opportunities can be: Undetermined Limited Fair Good

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Labour market conditions over the next 10 years

Take a closer look at the projected labour demand and supply for this occupation over the 2019-2028 period. For more information on future job trends, go to the Canadian Occupational Projections System.

Summary

SURPLUS: This occupational group is expected to face labour surplus conditions over the period of 2019-2028 at the national level. The section below contains more detailed information regarding the outlook for this occupational group.

Employment in 2018

4,700

Median age of workers in 2018

43

Average retirement age in 2018

64.0

Detailed analysis

In order to determine the expected outlook of an occupation, the magnitude of the difference between the projected total numbers of new job seekers and job openings over the whole projection period (2019-2028) is analyzed in conjunction with an assessment of labour market conditions in recent years. The intention is to determine if recent labour market conditions (surplus, balance or shortage) are expected to persist or change over the period 2019-2028. For instance, if the analysis of key labour market indicators suggests that the number of job seekers was insufficient to fill the job openings (a shortage of workers) in an occupational group in recent years, the projections are used to assess if this situation will continue over the projection period or if the occupation will move towards balanced conditions.

Over the 2016-2018 period, this occupation continued to experience sharp drops in employment. The unemployment rate remained low and below its own historical norm as well as the national average in 2018. Given the job losses and that wages in this occupation remained among the lowest in trade occupations, this low unemployment rate is partially due to jobless workers accepting work in other trades or occupations such as carpenters. Additionally, this occupation has a significantly large proportion of self-employed workers that hovered around 25%-35%, in comparison to the approximately 15% share for all occupations. This also likely explains the lower impact that employment losses had on the unemployment rate. Hence, the analysis of key labour market indicators suggests that this occupational group has had a number of job seekers that was substantially higher than the number of available jobs at the national level in recent years.

For Cabinetmakers, over the period 2019-2028, new job openings (arising from expansion demand and replacement demand) are expected to total 1,400 , while 3,400 new job seekers (arising from school leavers, immigration and mobility) are expected to be available to fill them.

As job openings and job seekers are projected to be relatively similar over the 2019-2028 period, the labour surplus condition seen in recent years is not expected to disappear over the projection period. As job losses are expected to continue over the projection period, all job openings are expected from replacing workers largely due to retirements. Workers in this occupational group tend to have a similar age structure than the average of all occupations and to retire at a similar age. As a result, the retirement rate is expected to be comparable to the national average. The employment outlook for this occupation mainly depends on the health of the residential construction industry, especially on the renovation side. The demand for cabinetmakers has decreased considerably since the last recession. Although the construction sector rebounded quickly, recovery did not happen for this occupation. The main reason has been that cabinetmakers have competed with an increase use of prefabricated cabinets, which have become progressively cheaper and a viable option for renovators and homebuilders. In the coming years, this competition will not cease to exist. In addition, job creation will be limited by the weaker outlook for residential construction investments, mostly as a result of the slowdown in population growth and projected high household debt levels. With regard to labour supply, school leavers are projected to account for just above half of potential job seekers, a proportion that is lower than for other occupations (about three-quarters of seekers). New immigrants are expected to represent the other half of potential labour supply, which is about twice the proportion among all other occupations. Nonetheless, a very sizeable proportion of workers are expected to leave this occupational group for new career opportunities, mainly as carpenters or contractors and supervisors in carpentry trades. Despite this outflow of workers, the labour surplus condition seen in recent years is not expected to disappear over the projection period.

Source Canadian Occupational Projections System – ESDC

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