Job outlook Logging Machinery Operator in Canada

People working as a logging machinery operator have different job prospects depending on where they work in Canada. Find out what the future holds for them in your province or territory. These outlooks are applicable to all Logging machinery operators (NOC 8241).

Job opportunities over the next 3 years

Explore future job prospects by province and territory.

Location Job outlook
Newfoundland and Labrador Fair
Prince Edward Island Undetermined
Nova Scotia Limited
New Brunswick Fair
Quebec Fair
Ontario Limited
Manitoba Undetermined
Saskatchewan Undetermined
Alberta Fair
British Columbia Limited
Yukon Territory Undetermined
Northwest Territories Undetermined
Nunavut Undetermined
Legend: The job opportunities can be: Undetermined Limited Fair Good

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Labour market conditions over the next 10 years

Take a closer look at the projected labour demand and supply for this occupation over the 2017-2026 period. For more information on future job trends, go to the Canadian Occupational Projections System.

Summary

BALANCE: Labour demand and labour supply are expected to be broadly in line for this occupation group over the 2017-2026 period at the national level. The section below contains more detailed information regarding the outlook for this occupational group.
Employment in 2016
9,800
Median age of workers in 2016
45
Average retirement age in 2016
66.0

Detailed analysis

In order to determine the expected outlook of an occupation, the magnitude of the difference between the projected total numbers of new job seekers and job openings over the whole projection period (2017-2026) is analyzed in conjunction with an assessment of labour market conditions in recent years. The intention is to determine if recent labour market conditions (surplus, balance or shortage) are expected to persist or change over the period 2017-2026. For instance, if the analysis of key labour market indicators suggests that the number of job seekers was insufficient to fill the job openings (a shortage of workers) in an occupational group in recent years, the projections are used to assess if this situation will continue over the projection period or if the occupation will move towards balanced conditions.

Over the 2014-2016 period, employment in this occupational group fell. However, the unemployment rate declined slightly and reached 15.0% in 2016, well above the national average of 7.0% (note that the unemployment rate is affected by the seasonality of labour demand in this occupational group and that during the high season the unemployment rate usually decline below the national average). The average hourly wage increased at a faster pace than the average for all occupations. Hence, the analysis of key labour market indicators suggests that the number of job seekers was sufficient to fill the job openings in this occupational group over the 2014-2016 period.

For Logging machinary operators, over the period 2017-2026, new job openings (arising from expansion demand and replacement demand) are expected to total 3,000, while 2,700 new job seekers (arising from school leavers, immigration and mobility) are expected to be available to fill them.

Based on the analysis of recent labour market conditions and the projections, it is expected that the balance between labour supply and demand will continue over the 2017-2026 period. Nearly all job openings are expected to come from replacement demand, as employment growth will be almost non-existent. This lack of job creation is explained mainly by the downward trend in household formation due to slower population growth. The downward trend in new household formation will lead to a reduction in the number of housing starts, a crucial source of wood consumption. Furthermore, the newest softwood lumber dispute with the United States, reduced harvest areas, stricter environmental regulations, increased transportation costs and difficulties in the pulp and paper industry will also negatively affect employment in this occupation. However, workers are generally older than those in other occupations, meaning that a large number of logging machinery operators are expected to retire over the projection period. With regard to labour supply, school leavers will be the main source of job seekers over the projection period. Workers from other occupations, notably chain saw and skidder operators and silviculture and forestry workers, will seek employment as logging machinery operators as the next step in their career path. Finally, this occupational group is not popular among newcomers, which means that a very small number of new immigrants will seek employment in this group.

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