Job prospects Roofer, Shingles in Canada

People working as a roofer, shingles have different job prospects depending on where they work in Canada. Find out what the future holds for them in your province or territory. These outlooks are applicable to all Roofers and shinglers (NOC 7291).

Note that the current 2019-2021 Employment Outlook was published in December 2019 based on information available at that time.

Job opportunities over the next 3 years

Explore future job prospects by province and territory.

Location Job prospects
Newfoundland and Labrador Limited Limited
Prince Edward Island Good Good
Nova Scotia Fair Fair
New Brunswick Fair Fair
Quebec Fair Fair
Ontario Fair Fair
Manitoba Fair Fair
Saskatchewan Limited Limited
Alberta Fair Fair
British Columbia Fair Fair
Yukon Territory Undetermined Undetermined
Northwest Territories Undetermined Undetermined
Nunavut Undetermined Undetermined
Legend: The job opportunities can be: Undetermined Limited Fair Good

You can also look at this data on a map. Go to LMI Explore

Labour market conditions over the next 10 years

Take a closer look at the projected labour demand and supply for this occupation over the 2019-2028 period. For more information on future job trends, go to the Canadian Occupational Projections System.

Summary

SURPLUS: This occupational group is expected to face labour surplus conditions over the period of 2019-2028 at the national level. The section below contains more detailed information regarding the outlook for this occupational group.

Employment in 2018

22,600

Median age of workers in 2018

36

Average retirement age in 2018

66.0

Detailed analysis

In order to determine the expected outlook of an occupation, the magnitude of the difference between the projected total numbers of new job seekers and job openings over the whole projection period (2019-2028) is analyzed in conjunction with an assessment of labour market conditions in recent years. The intention is to determine if recent labour market conditions (surplus, balance or shortage) are expected to persist or change over the period 2019-2028. For instance, if the analysis of key labour market indicators suggests that the number of job seekers was insufficient to fill the job openings (a shortage of workers) in an occupational group in recent years, the projections are used to assess if this situation will continue over the projection period or if the occupation will move towards balanced conditions.

Over the period of 2016-2018, employment grew at a rate that was substantially higher than the average of all occupations. However, this came after substantial job losses in 2012 and 2013. In fact, employment in 2018 remained at a similar level than the peaks reached in 2009 and 2012. The unemployment rate recorded an important decline, but remained more than two times higher than the national average. However, this occupation is project based and very seasonal. Hence, one of the reasons for the high unemployment rate is the number of jobless people in transition between projects as well as high- and low-season working periods. Indeed, during peak working months of the year, the unemployment rate tends to decline substantially, situating significantly below the national unemployment rate. Finally, the ratio of the number of jobless workers to unfilled vacancies declined, but only in 2018 and to levels that are similar to the national average. Hence, the analysis of key labour market indicators suggests that the number of job seekers was sufficient to fill the job openings in this occupational group.

For Roofers and shinglers, over the period 2019-2028, new job openings (arising from expansion demand and replacement demand) are expected to total 5,300 , while 8,400 new job seekers (arising from school leavers, immigration and mobility) are expected to be available to fill them.

Although this occupational group has had a balanced market in recent years, projected job seekers are expected to be substantially superior to job openings, creating a surplus of workers over the 2019-2028 period. Employment growth is projected to be similar to the national average and to represent about half of all job openings over the projection period. The employment outlook for this occupation largely depends on the health of the construction industry. Over the previous decade, activity in the construction industry was supported by the building of new housing units, a substantial increase in renovation spending and investment in non-residential construction. However, stricter mortgage rules, the slowdown in population growth, the projected high household debt levels, as well as the declining trend anticipated in household formation and housing starts are expected to limit demand for new housing. Population aging is expected to lead to a shift in the composition of housing starts from single-unit homes to multiple-dwellings (apartments and condominiums). Because multiple-dwellings are more capital intensive and require less labour by unit of output, gains in productivity will limit employment growth for this occupation in the residential sector. Additionally, while technological advances will constrain the growth of commercial building, construction investment in warehousing will be supported by stronger penetration of e-commerce. Retirements are expected to account for about one third of the job openings, a proportion that is lower than in other occupations (about 59% of openings). Workers in this occupational group are significantly younger than the average and tend to retire at a later age than those in other occupations, resulting in a retirement rate that is below the average rate of all occupations.

With regard to labour supply, most job seekers are projected to come from the school system over the projection period. In fact, the volume of these job seekers alone is expected to significantly exceed the total number of projected job openings. Moreover, a large number of new immigrants are also expected to join this occupation, accounting for about one quarter of projected seekers. Finally, a sizable number of workers are expected to leave this occupational group for new career opportunities, for example as contractors and supervisor or in other construction trades. Despite this outflow of workers, the relative low retirement pressures combined with a healthy number of job seekers will lead this occupation to face surplus conditions over the projection period.

Source Canadian Occupational Projections System – ESDC

Date modified: